A radioactive nucleus decays with a probability per unit time that is the same for every nucleus: it follows that the fraction of nuclei surviving after a time τ\tau (half-life) is reduced by half. After nn halvings there remain N0/2nN_0/2^n nuclei.

Example — Carbon-14 dating

14^{14}C has half-life τ5730\tau\approx 5730 years. In a living being the concentration of 14^{14}C relative to 12^{12}C is about r0=1,31012r_0=1{,}3\cdot 10^{-12}. In a bone relic a concentration r=0,25r0r=0{,}25\,r_0 is measured. How old is it?

From the model: r(t)/r0=(1/2)t/τr(t)/r_0 = (1/2)^{t/\tau}. Hence (1/2)t/τ=0,25=(1/2)2    t/τ=2    t=2τ11460 years.(1/2)^{t/\tau} = 0{,}25 = (1/2)^2 \implies t/\tau = 2 \implies t = 2\tau \approx 11\,460 \text{ years}.

Example — Non-integer case: 0,3r00{,}3\,r_0

(1/2)t/τ=0,3    t/τ=log1/2(0,3)=ln0,3ln2=ln(10/3)ln21,737(1/2)^{t/\tau}=0{,}3 \implies t/\tau = \log_{1/2}(0{,}3) = -\dfrac{\ln 0{,}3}{\ln 2} = \dfrac{\ln(10/3)}{\ln 2} \approx 1{,}737, hence t1,73757309950 yearst\approx 1{,}737\cdot 5730 \approx 9\,950 \text{ years}.

Topics: Exponential function
Concepts: Exponential decay · Half-life
Functions: Exponential function
Skills: Modelling · Using formulae